SCOTTS MIRACLE GRO 45 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 85.46
| 810186AS5 | 85.63 8.97 9.48% |
SCOTTS |
SCOTTS Target Price Odds to finish over 85.46
The tendency of SCOTTS Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 85.46 in 90 days |
| 85.63 | 90 days | 85.46 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SCOTTS to stay above 85.46 in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This SCOTTS MIRACLE GRO 45 probability density function shows the probability of SCOTTS Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SCOTTS MIRACLE GRO price to stay between 85.46 and its current price of 85.63 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SCOTTS has a beta of 0.19. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SCOTTS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SCOTTS MIRACLE GRO 45 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SCOTTS MIRACLE GRO 45 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. SCOTTS Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for SCOTTS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SCOTTS MIRACLE GRO. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SCOTTS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SCOTTS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SCOTTS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SCOTTS MIRACLE GRO 45, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SCOTTS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
SCOTTS Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SCOTTS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SCOTTS MIRACLE GRO can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SCOTTS MIRACLE GRO generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
SCOTTS Technical Analysis
SCOTTS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SCOTTS Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SCOTTS MIRACLE GRO 45. In general, you should focus on analyzing SCOTTS Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SCOTTS Predictive Forecast Models
SCOTTS's time-series forecasting models is one of many SCOTTS's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SCOTTS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SCOTTS MIRACLE GRO
Checking the ongoing alerts about SCOTTS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SCOTTS MIRACLE GRO help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SCOTTS MIRACLE GRO generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in SCOTTS Bond
SCOTTS financial ratios help investors to determine whether SCOTTS Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SCOTTS with respect to the benefits of owning SCOTTS security.