SOUTHERN CALIF EDISON Odds of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 65.25

842400GE7   78.09  0.30  0.39%   
SOUTHERN's future price is the expected price of SOUTHERN instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SOUTHERN CALIF EDISON performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SOUTHERN Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, SOUTHERN Correlation, SOUTHERN Hype Analysis, SOUTHERN Volatility, SOUTHERN History as well as SOUTHERN Performance.
  
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SOUTHERN Target Price Odds to finish over 65.25

The tendency of SOUTHERN Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  65.25  in 90 days
 78.09 90 days 65.25 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SOUTHERN to stay above  65.25  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This SOUTHERN CALIF EDISON probability density function shows the probability of SOUTHERN Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SOUTHERN CALIF EDISON price to stay between  65.25  and its current price of 78.09 at the end of the 90-day period is about 65.59 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SOUTHERN CALIF EDISON has a beta of -0.29. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SOUTHERN are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SOUTHERN CALIF EDISON is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SOUTHERN CALIF EDISON has an alpha of 0.1198, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SOUTHERN Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SOUTHERN

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SOUTHERN CALIF EDISON. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
77.2678.0978.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.5565.3885.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
77.5878.4179.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
75.6576.7077.75
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SOUTHERN. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SOUTHERN's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SOUTHERN's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SOUTHERN CALIF EDISON.

SOUTHERN Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SOUTHERN is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SOUTHERN's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SOUTHERN CALIF EDISON, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SOUTHERN within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.29
σ
Overall volatility
1.79
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

SOUTHERN Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SOUTHERN for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SOUTHERN CALIF EDISON can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SOUTHERN generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

SOUTHERN Technical Analysis

SOUTHERN's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SOUTHERN Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SOUTHERN CALIF EDISON. In general, you should focus on analyzing SOUTHERN Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SOUTHERN Predictive Forecast Models

SOUTHERN's time-series forecasting models is one of many SOUTHERN's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SOUTHERN's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SOUTHERN CALIF EDISON

Checking the ongoing alerts about SOUTHERN for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SOUTHERN CALIF EDISON help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SOUTHERN generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in SOUTHERN Bond

SOUTHERN financial ratios help investors to determine whether SOUTHERN Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SOUTHERN with respect to the benefits of owning SOUTHERN security.