EIX 365 01 JUN 51 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 76.96

842400HF3   72.55  2.92  3.87%   
842400HF3's future price is the expected price of 842400HF3 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of EIX 365 01 JUN 51 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 842400HF3 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 842400HF3 Correlation, 842400HF3 Hype Analysis, 842400HF3 Volatility, 842400HF3 History as well as 842400HF3 Performance.
  
Please specify 842400HF3's target price for which you would like 842400HF3 odds to be computed.

842400HF3 Target Price Odds to finish over 76.96

The tendency of 842400HF3 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  76.96  or more in 90 days
 72.55 90 days 76.96 
about 5.31
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 842400HF3 to move over  76.96  or more in 90 days from now is about 5.31 (This EIX 365 01 JUN 51 probability density function shows the probability of 842400HF3 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of EIX 365 01 price to stay between its current price of  72.55  and  76.96  at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.3 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 842400HF3 has a beta of 0.2. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, 842400HF3 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding EIX 365 01 JUN 51 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally EIX 365 01 JUN 51 has an alpha of 0.0443, implying that it can generate a 0.0443 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   842400HF3 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 842400HF3

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EIX 365 01. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
71.4872.5573.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
72.0473.1174.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
70.3971.4672.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
70.7974.7278.65
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 842400HF3. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 842400HF3's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 842400HF3's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in EIX 365 01.

842400HF3 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 842400HF3 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 842400HF3's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold EIX 365 01 JUN 51, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 842400HF3 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
2.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

842400HF3 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 842400HF3 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for EIX 365 01 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
EIX 365 01 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from investing.com: Burlington stock upgraded as off-price model drives confidence amid weather challenges

842400HF3 Technical Analysis

842400HF3's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 842400HF3 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of EIX 365 01 JUN 51. In general, you should focus on analyzing 842400HF3 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

842400HF3 Predictive Forecast Models

842400HF3's time-series forecasting models is one of many 842400HF3's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 842400HF3's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about EIX 365 01

Checking the ongoing alerts about 842400HF3 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for EIX 365 01 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
EIX 365 01 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from investing.com: Burlington stock upgraded as off-price model drives confidence amid weather challenges

Other Information on Investing in 842400HF3 Bond

842400HF3 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 842400HF3 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 842400HF3 with respect to the benefits of owning 842400HF3 security.