STARBUCKS P 38 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 107.35

855244AQ2   99.35  0.03  0.03%   
855244AQ2's future price is the expected price of 855244AQ2 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of STARBUCKS P 38 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 855244AQ2 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 855244AQ2 Correlation, 855244AQ2 Hype Analysis, 855244AQ2 Volatility, 855244AQ2 History as well as 855244AQ2 Performance.
  
Please specify 855244AQ2's target price for which you would like 855244AQ2 odds to be computed.

855244AQ2 Target Price Odds to finish over 107.35

The tendency of 855244AQ2 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  107.35  or more in 90 days
 99.35 90 days 107.35 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 855244AQ2 to move over  107.35  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This STARBUCKS P 38 probability density function shows the probability of 855244AQ2 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of STARBUCKS P 38 price to stay between its current price of  99.35  and  107.35  at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon STARBUCKS P 38 has a beta of -0.0109. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 855244AQ2 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, STARBUCKS P 38 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally STARBUCKS P 38 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   855244AQ2 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 855244AQ2

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as STARBUCKS P 38. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
99.1399.3599.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
98.5498.76109.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
98.4298.6498.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
96.2497.7499.23
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 855244AQ2. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 855244AQ2's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 855244AQ2's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in STARBUCKS P 38.

855244AQ2 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 855244AQ2 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 855244AQ2's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold STARBUCKS P 38, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 855244AQ2 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.72
Ir
Information ratio -0.43

855244AQ2 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 855244AQ2 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for STARBUCKS P 38 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
STARBUCKS P 38 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

855244AQ2 Technical Analysis

855244AQ2's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 855244AQ2 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of STARBUCKS P 38. In general, you should focus on analyzing 855244AQ2 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

855244AQ2 Predictive Forecast Models

855244AQ2's time-series forecasting models is one of many 855244AQ2's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 855244AQ2's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about STARBUCKS P 38

Checking the ongoing alerts about 855244AQ2 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for STARBUCKS P 38 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
STARBUCKS P 38 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 855244AQ2 Bond

855244AQ2 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 855244AQ2 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 855244AQ2 with respect to the benefits of owning 855244AQ2 security.