STT 1684 18 NOV 27 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 90.61

857477BQ5   89.53  4.94  5.23%   
857477BQ5's future price is the expected price of 857477BQ5 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of STT 1684 18 NOV 27 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 857477BQ5 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 857477BQ5 Correlation, 857477BQ5 Hype Analysis, 857477BQ5 Volatility, 857477BQ5 History as well as 857477BQ5 Performance.
  
Please specify 857477BQ5's target price for which you would like 857477BQ5 odds to be computed.

857477BQ5 Target Price Odds to finish over 90.61

The tendency of 857477BQ5 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  90.61  or more in 90 days
 89.53 90 days 90.61 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 857477BQ5 to move over  90.61  or more in 90 days from now is under 95 (This STT 1684 18 NOV 27 probability density function shows the probability of 857477BQ5 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of STT 1684 18 price to stay between its current price of  89.53  and  90.61  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon STT 1684 18 NOV 27 has a beta of -0.17. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 857477BQ5 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, STT 1684 18 NOV 27 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally STT 1684 18 NOV 27 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   857477BQ5 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 857477BQ5

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as STT 1684 18. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
88.7989.5390.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.1775.9198.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
91.1191.8592.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
88.3990.6092.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 857477BQ5. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 857477BQ5's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 857477BQ5's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in STT 1684 18.

857477BQ5 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 857477BQ5 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 857477BQ5's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold STT 1684 18 NOV 27, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 857477BQ5 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.17
σ
Overall volatility
1.87
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

857477BQ5 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 857477BQ5 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for STT 1684 18 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
STT 1684 18 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

857477BQ5 Technical Analysis

857477BQ5's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 857477BQ5 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of STT 1684 18 NOV 27. In general, you should focus on analyzing 857477BQ5 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

857477BQ5 Predictive Forecast Models

857477BQ5's time-series forecasting models is one of many 857477BQ5's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 857477BQ5's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about STT 1684 18

Checking the ongoing alerts about 857477BQ5 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for STT 1684 18 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
STT 1684 18 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 857477BQ5 Bond

857477BQ5 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 857477BQ5 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 857477BQ5 with respect to the benefits of owning 857477BQ5 security.