SWEDA 1538 16 NOV 26 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 91.55

87020PAP2   88.35  0.00  0.00%   
SWEDA's future price is the expected price of SWEDA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SWEDA 1538 16 NOV 26 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SWEDA Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, SWEDA Correlation, SWEDA Hype Analysis, SWEDA Volatility, SWEDA History as well as SWEDA Performance.
  
Please specify SWEDA's target price for which you would like SWEDA odds to be computed.

SWEDA Target Price Odds to finish over 91.55

The tendency of SWEDA Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  91.55  or more in 90 days
 88.35 90 days 91.55 
about 79.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SWEDA to move over  91.55  or more in 90 days from now is about 79.77 (This SWEDA 1538 16 NOV 26 probability density function shows the probability of SWEDA Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SWEDA 1538 16 price to stay between its current price of  88.35  and  91.55  at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.92 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SWEDA has a beta of 0.0506. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SWEDA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SWEDA 1538 16 NOV 26 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SWEDA 1538 16 NOV 26 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SWEDA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SWEDA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SWEDA 1538 16. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
86.9288.3589.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
74.0275.4597.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
84.5285.9587.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
90.2693.6997.12
Details

SWEDA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SWEDA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SWEDA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SWEDA 1538 16 NOV 26, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SWEDA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
1.68
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

SWEDA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SWEDA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SWEDA 1538 16 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SWEDA 1538 16 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

SWEDA Technical Analysis

SWEDA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SWEDA Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SWEDA 1538 16 NOV 26. In general, you should focus on analyzing SWEDA Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SWEDA Predictive Forecast Models

SWEDA's time-series forecasting models is one of many SWEDA's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SWEDA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SWEDA 1538 16

Checking the ongoing alerts about SWEDA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SWEDA 1538 16 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SWEDA 1538 16 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in SWEDA Bond

SWEDA financial ratios help investors to determine whether SWEDA Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SWEDA with respect to the benefits of owning SWEDA security.