SYNCHRONY FINL 45 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 98.26

87165BAG8   99.18  0.40  0.40%   
SYNCHRONY's future price is the expected price of SYNCHRONY instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SYNCHRONY FINL 45 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SYNCHRONY Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, SYNCHRONY Correlation, SYNCHRONY Hype Analysis, SYNCHRONY Volatility, SYNCHRONY History as well as SYNCHRONY Performance.
  
Please specify SYNCHRONY's target price for which you would like SYNCHRONY odds to be computed.

SYNCHRONY Target Price Odds to finish below 98.26

The tendency of SYNCHRONY Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  98.26  or more in 90 days
 99.18 90 days 98.26 
about 25.81
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SYNCHRONY to drop to  98.26  or more in 90 days from now is about 25.81 (This SYNCHRONY FINL 45 probability density function shows the probability of SYNCHRONY Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SYNCHRONY FINL 45 price to stay between  98.26  and its current price of 99.18 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SYNCHRONY FINL 45 has a beta of -0.0154. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SYNCHRONY are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SYNCHRONY FINL 45 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SYNCHRONY FINL 45 has an alpha of 0.0012, implying that it can generate a 0.001247 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SYNCHRONY Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SYNCHRONY

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SYNCHRONY FINL 45. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
98.8799.1899.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
82.1882.49109.10
Details

SYNCHRONY Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SYNCHRONY is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SYNCHRONY's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SYNCHRONY FINL 45, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SYNCHRONY within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
1.38
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

SYNCHRONY Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SYNCHRONY for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SYNCHRONY FINL 45 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SYNCHRONY FINL 45 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

SYNCHRONY Technical Analysis

SYNCHRONY's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SYNCHRONY Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SYNCHRONY FINL 45. In general, you should focus on analyzing SYNCHRONY Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SYNCHRONY Predictive Forecast Models

SYNCHRONY's time-series forecasting models is one of many SYNCHRONY's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SYNCHRONY's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SYNCHRONY FINL 45

Checking the ongoing alerts about SYNCHRONY for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SYNCHRONY FINL 45 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SYNCHRONY FINL 45 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in SYNCHRONY Bond

SYNCHRONY financial ratios help investors to determine whether SYNCHRONY Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SYNCHRONY with respect to the benefits of owning SYNCHRONY security.