SYF 2875 28 OCT 31 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 87.74

87165BAR4   76.12  1.30  1.68%   
87165BAR4's future price is the expected price of 87165BAR4 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SYF 2875 28 OCT 31 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 87165BAR4 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 87165BAR4 Correlation, 87165BAR4 Hype Analysis, 87165BAR4 Volatility, 87165BAR4 History as well as 87165BAR4 Performance.
  
Please specify 87165BAR4's target price for which you would like 87165BAR4 odds to be computed.

87165BAR4 Target Price Odds to finish over 87.74

The tendency of 87165BAR4 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  87.74  or more in 90 days
 76.12 90 days 87.74 
about 7.62
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 87165BAR4 to move over  87.74  or more in 90 days from now is about 7.62 (This SYF 2875 28 OCT 31 probability density function shows the probability of 87165BAR4 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SYF 2875 28 price to stay between its current price of  76.12  and  87.74  at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.77 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SYF 2875 28 OCT 31 has a beta of -0.25. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 87165BAR4 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SYF 2875 28 OCT 31 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SYF 2875 28 OCT 31 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   87165BAR4 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 87165BAR4

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SYF 2875 28. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
74.8676.1277.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
63.7364.9983.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
79.9481.2082.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
73.7681.7589.74
Details

87165BAR4 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 87165BAR4 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 87165BAR4's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SYF 2875 28 OCT 31, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 87165BAR4 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.25
σ
Overall volatility
3.25
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

87165BAR4 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 87165BAR4 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SYF 2875 28 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SYF 2875 28 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

87165BAR4 Technical Analysis

87165BAR4's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 87165BAR4 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SYF 2875 28 OCT 31. In general, you should focus on analyzing 87165BAR4 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

87165BAR4 Predictive Forecast Models

87165BAR4's time-series forecasting models is one of many 87165BAR4's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 87165BAR4's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SYF 2875 28

Checking the ongoing alerts about 87165BAR4 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SYF 2875 28 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SYF 2875 28 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 87165BAR4 Bond

87165BAR4 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 87165BAR4 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 87165BAR4 with respect to the benefits of owning 87165BAR4 security.