TENCNT 3975 11 APR 29 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 94.20

88032XAN4   93.78  2.92  3.02%   
TENCNT's future price is the expected price of TENCNT instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of TENCNT 3975 11 APR 29 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out TENCNT Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, TENCNT Correlation, TENCNT Hype Analysis, TENCNT Volatility, TENCNT History as well as TENCNT Performance.
  
Please specify TENCNT's target price for which you would like TENCNT odds to be computed.

TENCNT Target Price Odds to finish over 94.20

The tendency of TENCNT Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  94.20  or more in 90 days
 93.78 90 days 94.20 
about 86.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TENCNT to move over  94.20  or more in 90 days from now is about 86.72 (This TENCNT 3975 11 APR 29 probability density function shows the probability of TENCNT Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TENCNT 75 11 price to stay between its current price of  93.78  and  94.20  at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TENCNT has a beta of 0.18. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, TENCNT average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TENCNT 3975 11 APR 29 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally TENCNT 3975 11 APR 29 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   TENCNT Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TENCNT

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TENCNT 75 11. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
92.9793.7894.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
84.4095.1695.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
91.4292.2393.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
93.9696.7999.63
Details

TENCNT Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TENCNT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TENCNT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TENCNT 3975 11 APR 29, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TENCNT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.18
σ
Overall volatility
1.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

TENCNT Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TENCNT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TENCNT 75 11 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TENCNT 75 11 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

TENCNT Technical Analysis

TENCNT's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TENCNT Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TENCNT 3975 11 APR 29. In general, you should focus on analyzing TENCNT Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

TENCNT Predictive Forecast Models

TENCNT's time-series forecasting models is one of many TENCNT's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TENCNT's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about TENCNT 75 11

Checking the ongoing alerts about TENCNT for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TENCNT 75 11 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TENCNT 75 11 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in TENCNT Bond

TENCNT financial ratios help investors to determine whether TENCNT Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TENCNT with respect to the benefits of owning TENCNT security.