TE Connectivity 7125 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 119.27

902133AG2   116.59  1.13  0.98%   
902133AG2's future price is the expected price of 902133AG2 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of TE Connectivity 7125 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 902133AG2 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 902133AG2 Correlation, 902133AG2 Hype Analysis, 902133AG2 Volatility, 902133AG2 History as well as 902133AG2 Performance.
  
Please specify 902133AG2's target price for which you would like 902133AG2 odds to be computed.

902133AG2 Target Price Odds to finish over 119.27

The tendency of 902133AG2 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  119.27  or more in 90 days
 116.59 90 days 119.27 
about 40.48
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 902133AG2 to move over  119.27  or more in 90 days from now is about 40.48 (This TE Connectivity 7125 probability density function shows the probability of 902133AG2 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TE Connectivity 7125 price to stay between its current price of  116.59  and  119.27  at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.14 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TE Connectivity 7125 has a beta of -0.17. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 902133AG2 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, TE Connectivity 7125 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally TE Connectivity 7125 has an alpha of 0.0055, implying that it can generate a 0.005545 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   902133AG2 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 902133AG2

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TE Connectivity 7125. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
115.72116.59117.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
73.9274.79128.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 902133AG2. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 902133AG2's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 902133AG2's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in TE Connectivity 7125.

902133AG2 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 902133AG2 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 902133AG2's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TE Connectivity 7125, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 902133AG2 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.17
σ
Overall volatility
14.78
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

902133AG2 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 902133AG2 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TE Connectivity 7125 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TE Connectivity 7125 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

902133AG2 Technical Analysis

902133AG2's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 902133AG2 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TE Connectivity 7125. In general, you should focus on analyzing 902133AG2 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

902133AG2 Predictive Forecast Models

902133AG2's time-series forecasting models is one of many 902133AG2's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 902133AG2's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about TE Connectivity 7125

Checking the ongoing alerts about 902133AG2 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TE Connectivity 7125 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TE Connectivity 7125 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 902133AG2 Bond

902133AG2 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 902133AG2 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 902133AG2 with respect to the benefits of owning 902133AG2 security.