VERISK ANALYTICS INC Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 96.70
| 92345YAE6 | 92.94 6.39 6.43% |
VERISK |
VERISK Target Price Odds to finish below 96.70
The tendency of VERISK Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 96.70 after 90 days |
| 92.94 | 90 days | 96.70 | about 33.1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VERISK to stay under 96.70 after 90 days from now is about 33.1 (This VERISK ANALYTICS INC probability density function shows the probability of VERISK Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VERISK ANALYTICS INC price to stay between its current price of 92.94 and 96.70 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon VERISK ANALYTICS INC has a beta of -0.14. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding VERISK are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, VERISK ANALYTICS INC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally VERISK ANALYTICS INC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. VERISK Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for VERISK
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VERISK ANALYTICS INC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.VERISK Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VERISK is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VERISK's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VERISK ANALYTICS INC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VERISK within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0018 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
VERISK Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VERISK for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VERISK ANALYTICS INC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| VERISK ANALYTICS INC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
VERISK Technical Analysis
VERISK's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VERISK Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VERISK ANALYTICS INC. In general, you should focus on analyzing VERISK Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VERISK Predictive Forecast Models
VERISK's time-series forecasting models is one of many VERISK's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VERISK's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about VERISK ANALYTICS INC
Checking the ongoing alerts about VERISK for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VERISK ANALYTICS INC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| VERISK ANALYTICS INC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in VERISK Bond
VERISK financial ratios help investors to determine whether VERISK Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VERISK with respect to the benefits of owning VERISK security.