WELLPOINT INC 465 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 90.90

94973VBB2   88.95  1.09  1.21%   
WELLPOINT's future price is the expected price of WELLPOINT instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of WELLPOINT INC 465 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out WELLPOINT Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, WELLPOINT Correlation, WELLPOINT Hype Analysis, WELLPOINT Volatility, WELLPOINT History as well as WELLPOINT Performance.
  
Please specify WELLPOINT's target price for which you would like WELLPOINT odds to be computed.

WELLPOINT Target Price Odds to finish over 90.90

The tendency of WELLPOINT Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  90.90  or more in 90 days
 88.95 90 days 90.90 
about 53.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of WELLPOINT to move over  90.90  or more in 90 days from now is about 53.17 (This WELLPOINT INC 465 probability density function shows the probability of WELLPOINT Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of WELLPOINT INC 465 price to stay between its current price of  88.95  and  90.90  at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.41 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon WELLPOINT INC 465 has a beta of -0.0839. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding WELLPOINT are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, WELLPOINT INC 465 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally WELLPOINT INC 465 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   WELLPOINT Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for WELLPOINT

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as WELLPOINT INC 465. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
89.1890.0490.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
74.0374.8999.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as WELLPOINT. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against WELLPOINT's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, WELLPOINT's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in WELLPOINT INC 465.

WELLPOINT Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. WELLPOINT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the WELLPOINT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold WELLPOINT INC 465, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of WELLPOINT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
3.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

WELLPOINT Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of WELLPOINT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for WELLPOINT INC 465 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
WELLPOINT INC 465 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

WELLPOINT Technical Analysis

WELLPOINT's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. WELLPOINT Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of WELLPOINT INC 465. In general, you should focus on analyzing WELLPOINT Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

WELLPOINT Predictive Forecast Models

WELLPOINT's time-series forecasting models is one of many WELLPOINT's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary WELLPOINT's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about WELLPOINT INC 465

Checking the ongoing alerts about WELLPOINT for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for WELLPOINT INC 465 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
WELLPOINT INC 465 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in WELLPOINT Bond

WELLPOINT financial ratios help investors to determine whether WELLPOINT Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in WELLPOINT with respect to the benefits of owning WELLPOINT security.