ZF North America Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 96.32

98877DAC9   98.75  0.62  0.62%   
98877DAC9's future price is the expected price of 98877DAC9 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ZF North America performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 98877DAC9 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 98877DAC9 Correlation, 98877DAC9 Hype Analysis, 98877DAC9 Volatility, 98877DAC9 History as well as 98877DAC9 Performance.
  
Please specify 98877DAC9's target price for which you would like 98877DAC9 odds to be computed.

98877DAC9 Target Price Odds to finish below 96.32

The tendency of 98877DAC9 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  96.32  or more in 90 days
 98.75 90 days 96.32 
about 1.41
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 98877DAC9 to drop to  96.32  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.41 (This ZF North America probability density function shows the probability of 98877DAC9 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ZF North America price to stay between  96.32  and its current price of 98.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.94 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ZF North America has a beta of -0.14. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 98877DAC9 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ZF North America is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ZF North America has an alpha of 0.015, implying that it can generate a 0.015 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   98877DAC9 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 98877DAC9

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ZF North America. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
97.9198.7599.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
96.2697.10108.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
97.6698.5099.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
95.6597.8199.97
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 98877DAC9. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 98877DAC9's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 98877DAC9's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ZF North America.

98877DAC9 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 98877DAC9 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 98877DAC9's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ZF North America, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 98877DAC9 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.14
σ
Overall volatility
1.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

98877DAC9 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 98877DAC9 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ZF North America can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ZF North America generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

98877DAC9 Technical Analysis

98877DAC9's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 98877DAC9 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ZF North America. In general, you should focus on analyzing 98877DAC9 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

98877DAC9 Predictive Forecast Models

98877DAC9's time-series forecasting models is one of many 98877DAC9's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 98877DAC9's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ZF North America

Checking the ongoing alerts about 98877DAC9 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ZF North America help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ZF North America generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 98877DAC9 Bond

98877DAC9 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 98877DAC9 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 98877DAC9 with respect to the benefits of owning 98877DAC9 security.