Americas Silver Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.53
| USA Stock | CAD 0.51 0.02 3.77% |
Americas |
Americas Silver Target Price Odds to finish below 0.53
The tendency of Americas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under C$ 0.53 after 90 days |
| 0.51 | 90 days | 0.53 | about 62.97 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Americas Silver to stay under C$ 0.53 after 90 days from now is about 62.97 (This Americas Silver Corp probability density function shows the probability of Americas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Americas Silver Corp price to stay between its current price of C$ 0.51 and C$ 0.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Americas Silver Corp has a beta of -0.0075. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Americas Silver are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Americas Silver Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Americas Silver Corp has an alpha of 0.6655, implying that it can generate a 0.67 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Americas Silver Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Americas Silver
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Americas Silver Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Americas Silver Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Americas Silver is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Americas Silver's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Americas Silver Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Americas Silver within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.67 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0075 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Americas Silver Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Americas Silver for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Americas Silver Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Americas Silver Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Americas Silver Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Americas Silver Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 89.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (38.17 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.42 M. | |
| Americas Silver Corp has accumulated about 3.43 M in cash with (1.01 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04. |
Americas Silver Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Americas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Americas Silver's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Americas Silver's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 212.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 M |
Americas Silver Technical Analysis
Americas Silver's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Americas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Americas Silver Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Americas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Americas Silver Predictive Forecast Models
Americas Silver's time-series forecasting models is one of many Americas Silver's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Americas Silver's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Americas Silver Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Americas Silver for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Americas Silver Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Americas Silver Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Americas Silver Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Americas Silver Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 89.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (38.17 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.42 M. | |
| Americas Silver Corp has accumulated about 3.43 M in cash with (1.01 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04. |
Check out Americas Silver Backtesting, Americas Silver Valuation, Americas Silver Correlation, Americas Silver Hype Analysis, Americas Silver Volatility, Americas Silver History as well as Americas Silver Performance. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.