Atlas America Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 25.11
| USAF Etf | 25.23 0.01 0.04% |
Atlas |
Atlas America Target Price Odds to finish over 25.11
The tendency of Atlas Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 25.11 in 90 days |
| 25.23 | 90 days | 25.11 | about 79.77 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Atlas America to stay above 25.11 in 90 days from now is about 79.77 (This Atlas America probability density function shows the probability of Atlas Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Atlas America price to stay between 25.11 and its current price of 25.23 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.53 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Atlas America has a beta of 0.0268. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Atlas America average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Atlas America will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Atlas America has an alpha of 0.0032, implying that it can generate a 0.003207 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Atlas America Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Atlas America
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atlas America. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Atlas America Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Atlas America is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Atlas America's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Atlas America, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Atlas America within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Atlas America Technical Analysis
Atlas America's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Atlas Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Atlas America. In general, you should focus on analyzing Atlas Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Atlas America Predictive Forecast Models
Atlas America's time-series forecasting models is one of many Atlas America's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Atlas America's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Atlas America in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Atlas America's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Atlas America options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Atlas Etf
Atlas America financial ratios help investors to determine whether Atlas Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Atlas with respect to the benefits of owning Atlas America security.