Atlas America Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 25.14

USAF Etf   25.27  0.01  0.04%   
Atlas America's future price is the expected price of Atlas America instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Atlas America performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Atlas America Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Atlas America Correlation, Atlas America Hype Analysis, Atlas America Volatility, Atlas America History as well as Atlas America Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Atlas Etf please use our How to Invest in Atlas America guide.
  
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Atlas America Target Price Odds to finish below 25.14

The tendency of Atlas Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  25.14  or more in 90 days
 25.27 90 days 25.14 
about 23.47
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Atlas America to drop to  25.14  or more in 90 days from now is about 23.47 (This Atlas America probability density function shows the probability of Atlas Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Atlas America price to stay between  25.14  and its current price of 25.27 at the end of the 90-day period is about 65.48 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Atlas America has a beta of -0.0051. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Atlas America are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Atlas America is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Atlas America has an alpha of 0.0255, implying that it can generate a 0.0255 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Atlas America Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Atlas America

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atlas America. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.0225.2625.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.5024.7427.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.0625.1925.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Atlas America. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Atlas America's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Atlas America's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Atlas America.

Atlas America Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Atlas America is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Atlas America's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Atlas America, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Atlas America within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0051
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.31

Atlas America Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Atlas America for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Atlas America can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Atlas America Technical Analysis

Atlas America's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Atlas Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Atlas America. In general, you should focus on analyzing Atlas Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Atlas America Predictive Forecast Models

Atlas America's time-series forecasting models is one of many Atlas America's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Atlas America's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Atlas America

Checking the ongoing alerts about Atlas America for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Atlas America help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Other Information on Investing in Atlas Etf

Atlas America financial ratios help investors to determine whether Atlas Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Atlas with respect to the benefits of owning Atlas America security.