World Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 32.39
| USAWX Fund | USD 30.82 0.17 0.55% |
World |
World Growth Target Price Odds to finish over 32.39
The tendency of World Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 32.39 or more in 90 days |
| 30.82 | 90 days | 32.39 | about 18.11 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of World Growth to move over $ 32.39 or more in 90 days from now is about 18.11 (This World Growth Fund probability density function shows the probability of World Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of World Growth price to stay between its current price of $ 30.82 and $ 32.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.38 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon World Growth has a beta of 0.56. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, World Growth average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding World Growth Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally World Growth Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. World Growth Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for World Growth
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as World Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of World Growth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
World Growth Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. World Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the World Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold World Growth Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of World Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
World Growth Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of World Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for World Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| World Growth generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund keeps 99.94% of its net assets in stocks |
World Growth Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of World Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential World Growth's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. World Growth's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
World Growth Technical Analysis
World Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. World Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of World Growth Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing World Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
World Growth Predictive Forecast Models
World Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many World Growth's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary World Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about World Growth
Checking the ongoing alerts about World Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for World Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| World Growth generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund keeps 99.94% of its net assets in stocks |
Other Information on Investing in World Mutual Fund
World Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether World Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in World with respect to the benefits of owning World Growth security.
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