Us Critical Metals Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0005
| USCMF Stock | USD 0.05 0.01 17.88% |
USCMF |
US Critical Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0005
The tendency of USCMF OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.0005 or more in 90 days |
| 0.05 | 90 days | 0.0005 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of US Critical to drop to $ 0.0005 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This US Critical Metals probability density function shows the probability of USCMF OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of US Critical Metals price to stay between $ 0.0005 and its current price of $0.0501 at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.47 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon US Critical Metals has a beta of -0.31. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding US Critical are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, US Critical Metals is likely to outperform the market. In addition to that US Critical Metals has an alpha of 3.7581, implying that it can generate a 3.76 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). US Critical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for US Critical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as US Critical Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.US Critical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. US Critical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the US Critical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold US Critical Metals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of US Critical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 3.76 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
US Critical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of US Critical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for US Critical Metals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| US Critical Metals is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| US Critical Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| US Critical Metals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| US Critical Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.16, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist US Critical until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, US Critical's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like US Critical Metals sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for USCMF to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about US Critical's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (718.3 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| US Critical Metals has accumulated about 4.39 M in cash with (401.15 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 38.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
US Critical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of USCMF OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential US Critical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. US Critical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Float | 44.6 M |
US Critical Technical Analysis
US Critical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. USCMF OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of US Critical Metals. In general, you should focus on analyzing USCMF OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
US Critical Predictive Forecast Models
US Critical's time-series forecasting models is one of many US Critical's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary US Critical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about US Critical Metals
Checking the ongoing alerts about US Critical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for US Critical Metals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| US Critical Metals is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| US Critical Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| US Critical Metals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| US Critical Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.16, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist US Critical until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, US Critical's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like US Critical Metals sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for USCMF to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about US Critical's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (718.3 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| US Critical Metals has accumulated about 4.39 M in cash with (401.15 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 38.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in USCMF OTC Stock
US Critical financial ratios help investors to determine whether USCMF OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in USCMF with respect to the benefits of owning US Critical security.