China Region Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 5.27
| USCOXDelisted Fund | USD 5.27 0.00 0.00% |
China |
China Region Target Price Odds to finish below 5.27
The tendency of China Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 5.27 | 90 days | 5.27 | about 17.14 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of China Region to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 17.14 (This China Region Fund probability density function shows the probability of China Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon China Region Fund has a beta of -0.18. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding China Region are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, China Region Fund is likely to outperform the market. Additionally China Region Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. China Region Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for China Region
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Region. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.China Region Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. China Region is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the China Region's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold China Region Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of China Region within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0042 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
China Region Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of China Region for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for China Region can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| China Region is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| China Region has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| China Region generated five year return of -2.0% | |
| This fund keeps 97.69% of its net assets in stocks |
China Region Technical Analysis
China Region's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. China Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of China Region Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing China Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
China Region Predictive Forecast Models
China Region's time-series forecasting models is one of many China Region's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary China Region's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about China Region
Checking the ongoing alerts about China Region for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for China Region help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| China Region is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| China Region has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| China Region generated five year return of -2.0% | |
| This fund keeps 97.69% of its net assets in stocks |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Other Consideration for investing in China Mutual Fund
If you are still planning to invest in China Region check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the China Region's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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