Gold And Precious Fund Odds of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 11.74

USERX Fund  USD 12.45  0.35  2.73%   
Gold And's future price is the expected price of Gold And instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Gold And Precious performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Gold And Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Gold And Correlation, Gold And Hype Analysis, Gold And Volatility, Gold And History as well as Gold And Performance.
  
Please specify Gold And's target price for which you would like Gold And odds to be computed.

Gold And Target Price Odds to finish over 11.74

The tendency of Gold Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 11.74  in 90 days
 12.45 90 days 11.74 
roughly 96.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gold And to stay above $ 11.74  in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This Gold And Precious probability density function shows the probability of Gold Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gold And Precious price to stay between $ 11.74  and its current price of $12.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.82 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Gold And has a beta of 0.25. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Gold And average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gold And Precious will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gold And Precious has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Gold And Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gold And

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gold And Precious. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.5512.4414.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.7812.6714.56
Details

Gold And Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gold And is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gold And's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gold And Precious, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gold And within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.25
σ
Overall volatility
0.79
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Gold And Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gold And for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gold And Precious can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated-2.0 ten year return of -2.0%
Gold And Precious keeps 95.04% of its net assets in stocks

Gold And Technical Analysis

Gold And's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gold Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gold And Precious. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gold Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gold And Predictive Forecast Models

Gold And's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gold And's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gold And's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Gold And Precious

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gold And for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gold And Precious help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated-2.0 ten year return of -2.0%
Gold And Precious keeps 95.04% of its net assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Gold Mutual Fund

Gold And financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gold Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gold with respect to the benefits of owning Gold And security.
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