OCULUS VISIONTECH (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.04

USF1 Stock  EUR 0.04  0.01  21.87%   
OCULUS VISIONTECH's future price is the expected price of OCULUS VISIONTECH instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of OCULUS VISIONTECH performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out OCULUS VISIONTECH Backtesting, OCULUS VISIONTECH Valuation, OCULUS VISIONTECH Correlation, OCULUS VISIONTECH Hype Analysis, OCULUS VISIONTECH Volatility, OCULUS VISIONTECH History as well as OCULUS VISIONTECH Performance.
  
Please specify OCULUS VISIONTECH's target price for which you would like OCULUS VISIONTECH odds to be computed.

OCULUS VISIONTECH Target Price Odds to finish over 0.04

The tendency of OCULUS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 0.04  or more in 90 days
 0.04 90 days 0.04 
about 6.32
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OCULUS VISIONTECH to move over € 0.04  or more in 90 days from now is about 6.32 (This OCULUS VISIONTECH probability density function shows the probability of OCULUS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of OCULUS VISIONTECH price to stay between its current price of € 0.04  and € 0.04  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.59 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon OCULUS VISIONTECH has a beta of -2.35. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding OCULUS VISIONTECH are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, OCULUS VISIONTECH is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that OCULUS VISIONTECH has an alpha of 11.2532, implying that it can generate a 11.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   OCULUS VISIONTECH Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for OCULUS VISIONTECH

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OCULUS VISIONTECH. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0449.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0349.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00070.0349.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.030.040.04
Details

OCULUS VISIONTECH Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OCULUS VISIONTECH is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OCULUS VISIONTECH's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OCULUS VISIONTECH, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OCULUS VISIONTECH within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
11.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones-2.35
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.22

OCULUS VISIONTECH Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OCULUS VISIONTECH for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OCULUS VISIONTECH can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
OCULUS VISIONTECH is way too risky over 90 days horizon
OCULUS VISIONTECH has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
OCULUS VISIONTECH appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company has a current ratio of 0.01, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist OCULUS VISIONTECH until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, OCULUS VISIONTECH's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like OCULUS VISIONTECH sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for OCULUS to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about OCULUS VISIONTECH's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (198.1 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

OCULUS VISIONTECH Technical Analysis

OCULUS VISIONTECH's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. OCULUS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of OCULUS VISIONTECH. In general, you should focus on analyzing OCULUS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

OCULUS VISIONTECH Predictive Forecast Models

OCULUS VISIONTECH's time-series forecasting models is one of many OCULUS VISIONTECH's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary OCULUS VISIONTECH's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about OCULUS VISIONTECH

Checking the ongoing alerts about OCULUS VISIONTECH for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for OCULUS VISIONTECH help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
OCULUS VISIONTECH is way too risky over 90 days horizon
OCULUS VISIONTECH has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
OCULUS VISIONTECH appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company has a current ratio of 0.01, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist OCULUS VISIONTECH until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, OCULUS VISIONTECH's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like OCULUS VISIONTECH sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for OCULUS to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about OCULUS VISIONTECH's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (198.1 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in OCULUS Stock

OCULUS VISIONTECH financial ratios help investors to determine whether OCULUS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in OCULUS with respect to the benefits of owning OCULUS VISIONTECH security.