American Pacific Mining Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 24.79
| USGDF Stock | USD 0.17 0.01 5.56% |
American |
American Pacific Target Price Odds to finish over 24.79
The tendency of American OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 24.79 or more in 90 days |
| 0.17 | 90 days | 24.79 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Pacific to move over $ 24.79 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This American Pacific Mining probability density function shows the probability of American OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of American Pacific Mining price to stay between its current price of $ 0.17 and $ 24.79 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.17 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon American Pacific Mining has a beta of -0.32. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding American Pacific are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, American Pacific Mining is likely to outperform the market. Moreover American Pacific Mining has an alpha of 1.2986, implying that it can generate a 1.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). American Pacific Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for American Pacific
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Pacific Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Pacific's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
American Pacific Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Pacific is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Pacific's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Pacific Mining, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Pacific within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.30 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
American Pacific Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Pacific for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Pacific Mining can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| American Pacific is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| American Pacific has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| American Pacific appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| American Pacific has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (4.28 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (44.24 K). | |
| American Pacific Mining has accumulated about 11.07 M in cash with (2.74 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09. |
American Pacific Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Pacific's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Pacific's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 101.8 M |
American Pacific Technical Analysis
American Pacific's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Pacific Mining. In general, you should focus on analyzing American OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
American Pacific Predictive Forecast Models
American Pacific's time-series forecasting models is one of many American Pacific's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Pacific's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about American Pacific Mining
Checking the ongoing alerts about American Pacific for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Pacific Mining help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| American Pacific is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| American Pacific has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| American Pacific appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| American Pacific has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (4.28 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (44.24 K). | |
| American Pacific Mining has accumulated about 11.07 M in cash with (2.74 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09. |
Other Information on Investing in American OTC Stock
American Pacific financial ratios help investors to determine whether American OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in American with respect to the benefits of owning American Pacific security.