Usana Health Sciences Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 32.08
| USNA Stock | USD 38.53 0.63 1.61% |
USANA |
USANA Health Target Price Odds to finish below 32.08
The tendency of USANA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 32.08 or more in 90 days |
| 38.53 | 90 days | 32.08 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of USANA Health to drop to $ 32.08 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This USANA Health Sciences probability density function shows the probability of USANA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of USANA Health Sciences price to stay between $ 32.08 and its current price of $38.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.76 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days USANA Health has a beta of 0.72. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, USANA Health average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding USANA Health Sciences will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally USANA Health Sciences has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. USANA Health Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for USANA Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as USANA Health Sciences. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.USANA Health Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. USANA Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the USANA Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold USANA Health Sciences, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of USANA Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.72 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
USANA Health Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of USANA Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for USANA Health Sciences can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| USANA Health generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Fiber Supplements Market Expected to Reach USD 7.71 Billion by 2032, Growing at a CAGR of 6.99 percent Introspective Market Research. |
USANA Health Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of USANA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential USANA Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. USANA Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 330.4 M |
USANA Health Technical Analysis
USANA Health's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. USANA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of USANA Health Sciences. In general, you should focus on analyzing USANA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
USANA Health Predictive Forecast Models
USANA Health's time-series forecasting models is one of many USANA Health's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary USANA Health's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about USANA Health Sciences
Checking the ongoing alerts about USANA Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for USANA Health Sciences help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| USANA Health generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Fiber Supplements Market Expected to Reach USD 7.71 Billion by 2032, Growing at a CAGR of 6.99 percent Introspective Market Research. |
Check out USANA Health Backtesting, USANA Health Valuation, USANA Health Correlation, USANA Health Hype Analysis, USANA Health Volatility, USANA Health History as well as USANA Health Performance. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is Personal Care Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of USANA Health. If investors know USANA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about USANA Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.06) | Earnings Share 2.83 | Revenue Per Share 45.085 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) | Return On Assets 0.0809 |
The market value of USANA Health Sciences is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of USANA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of USANA Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is USANA Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because USANA Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect USANA Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between USANA Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if USANA Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, USANA Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.