BBVASM 1875 18 SEP 25 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 95.66

P16259AJ5   92.50  0.00  0.00%   
BBVASM's future price is the expected price of BBVASM instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BBVASM 1875 18 SEP 25 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BBVASM Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, BBVASM Correlation, BBVASM Hype Analysis, BBVASM Volatility, BBVASM History as well as BBVASM Performance.
  
Please specify BBVASM's target price for which you would like BBVASM odds to be computed.

BBVASM Target Price Odds to finish over 95.66

The tendency of BBVASM Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  95.66  or more in 90 days
 92.50 90 days 95.66 
about 82.26
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BBVASM to move over  95.66  or more in 90 days from now is about 82.26 (This BBVASM 1875 18 SEP 25 probability density function shows the probability of BBVASM Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BBVASM 1875 18 price to stay between its current price of  92.50  and  95.66  at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.73 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BBVASM 1875 18 SEP 25 has a beta of -0.0807. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BBVASM are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BBVASM 1875 18 SEP 25 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BBVASM 1875 18 SEP 25 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   BBVASM Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BBVASM

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BBVASM 1875 18. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
91.6392.5093.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
82.4383.30101.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
89.3190.1991.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
88.8493.4398.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BBVASM. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BBVASM's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BBVASM's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BBVASM 1875 18.

BBVASM Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BBVASM is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BBVASM's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BBVASM 1875 18 SEP 25, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BBVASM within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
1.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

BBVASM Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BBVASM for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BBVASM 1875 18 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BBVASM 1875 18 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

BBVASM Technical Analysis

BBVASM's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BBVASM Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BBVASM 1875 18 SEP 25. In general, you should focus on analyzing BBVASM Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BBVASM Predictive Forecast Models

BBVASM's time-series forecasting models is one of many BBVASM's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BBVASM's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BBVASM 1875 18

Checking the ongoing alerts about BBVASM for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BBVASM 1875 18 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BBVASM 1875 18 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in BBVASM Bond

BBVASM financial ratios help investors to determine whether BBVASM Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BBVASM with respect to the benefits of owning BBVASM security.