BBLTB 3733 25 SEP 34 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 90.87

Y0606WCA6   85.89  5.43  5.95%   
BBLTB's future price is the expected price of BBLTB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BBLTB 3733 25 SEP 34 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BBLTB Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, BBLTB Correlation, BBLTB Hype Analysis, BBLTB Volatility, BBLTB History as well as BBLTB Performance.
  
Please specify BBLTB's target price for which you would like BBLTB odds to be computed.

BBLTB Target Price Odds to finish over 90.87

The tendency of BBLTB Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  90.87  or more in 90 days
 85.89 90 days 90.87 
about 45.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BBLTB to move over  90.87  or more in 90 days from now is about 45.08 (This BBLTB 3733 25 SEP 34 probability density function shows the probability of BBLTB Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BBLTB 3733 25 price to stay between its current price of  85.89  and  90.87  at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.37 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BBLTB has a beta of 0.0595. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, BBLTB average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BBLTB 3733 25 SEP 34 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BBLTB 3733 25 SEP 34 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   BBLTB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BBLTB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BBLTB 3733 25. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
84.7785.8987.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
77.3087.3288.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
82.5883.7084.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
84.0889.4994.91
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BBLTB. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BBLTB's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BBLTB's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BBLTB 3733 25.

BBLTB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BBLTB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BBLTB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BBLTB 3733 25 SEP 34, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BBLTB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
1.86
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

BBLTB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BBLTB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BBLTB 3733 25 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BBLTB 3733 25 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

BBLTB Technical Analysis

BBLTB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BBLTB Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BBLTB 3733 25 SEP 34. In general, you should focus on analyzing BBLTB Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BBLTB Predictive Forecast Models

BBLTB's time-series forecasting models is one of many BBLTB's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BBLTB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BBLTB 3733 25

Checking the ongoing alerts about BBLTB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BBLTB 3733 25 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BBLTB 3733 25 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in BBLTB Bond

BBLTB financial ratios help investors to determine whether BBLTB Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BBLTB with respect to the benefits of owning BBLTB security.