Utz Brands Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.32
| UTZ Stock | USD 17.47 0.01 0.06% |
Closest to current price Utz long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Utz |
Utz Brands Target Price Odds to finish below 12.32
The tendency of Utz Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 12.32 or more in 90 days |
| 17.47 | 90 days | 12.32 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Utz Brands to drop to $ 12.32 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Utz Brands probability density function shows the probability of Utz Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Utz Brands price to stay between $ 12.32 and its current price of $17.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Utz Brands has a beta of 0.52. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Utz Brands average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Utz Brands will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Utz Brands has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Utz Brands Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Utz Brands
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Utz Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Utz Brands' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Utz Brands Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Utz Brands is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Utz Brands' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Utz Brands, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Utz Brands within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Utz Brands Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Utz Brands for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Utz Brands can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Utz Brands has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.44 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (40.03 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 443.06 M. | |
| Over 93.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Utz Brands Dividend Will Be 0.061 |
Utz Brands Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Utz Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Utz Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Utz Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 81.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 52 M |
Utz Brands Technical Analysis
Utz Brands' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Utz Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Utz Brands. In general, you should focus on analyzing Utz Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Utz Brands Predictive Forecast Models
Utz Brands' time-series forecasting models is one of many Utz Brands' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Utz Brands' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Utz Brands
Checking the ongoing alerts about Utz Brands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Utz Brands help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Utz Brands has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.44 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (40.03 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 443.06 M. | |
| Over 93.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Utz Brands Dividend Will Be 0.061 |
Additional Tools for Utz Stock Analysis
When running Utz Brands' price analysis, check to measure Utz Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Utz Brands is operating at the current time. Most of Utz Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Utz Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Utz Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Utz Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.