United Utilities (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.57
| UUEC Stock | EUR 13.50 0.17 1.28% |
United |
United Utilities Target Price Odds to finish below 13.57
The tendency of United Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 13.57 after 90 days |
| 13.50 | 90 days | 13.57 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of United Utilities to stay under € 13.57 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This United Utilities Group probability density function shows the probability of United Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of United Utilities price to stay between its current price of € 13.50 and € 13.57 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon United Utilities has a beta of 0.35. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, United Utilities average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding United Utilities Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally United Utilities Group has an alpha of 0.1555, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). United Utilities Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for United Utilities
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United Utilities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of United Utilities' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
United Utilities Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. United Utilities is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the United Utilities' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold United Utilities Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of United Utilities within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
United Utilities Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of United Utilities for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for United Utilities can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| United Utilities has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| United Utilities has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| United Utilities Group has accumulated 7.61 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 251.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. United Utilities has a current ratio of 0.68, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist United Utilities until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, United Utilities' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like United Utilities sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for United to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about United Utilities' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 1.86 B. Net Loss for the year was (56.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.69 B. | |
| About 67.0% of United Utilities outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
United Utilities Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of United Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential United Utilities' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United Utilities' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 681.9 M |
United Utilities Technical Analysis
United Utilities' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. United Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of United Utilities Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing United Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
United Utilities Predictive Forecast Models
United Utilities' time-series forecasting models is one of many United Utilities' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary United Utilities' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about United Utilities
Checking the ongoing alerts about United Utilities for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for United Utilities help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| United Utilities has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| United Utilities has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| United Utilities Group has accumulated 7.61 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 251.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. United Utilities has a current ratio of 0.68, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist United Utilities until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, United Utilities' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like United Utilities sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for United to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about United Utilities' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 1.86 B. Net Loss for the year was (56.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.69 B. | |
| About 67.0% of United Utilities outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in United Stock
United Utilities financial ratios help investors to determine whether United Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in United with respect to the benefits of owning United Utilities security.