Uwharrie Capital Corp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 5.45
| UWHR Stock | USD 8.25 0.15 1.79% |
Uwharrie |
Uwharrie Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 5.45
The tendency of Uwharrie OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 5.45 or more in 90 days |
| 8.25 | 90 days | 5.45 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Uwharrie Capital to drop to $ 5.45 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Uwharrie Capital Corp probability density function shows the probability of Uwharrie OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Uwharrie Capital Corp price to stay between $ 5.45 and its current price of $8.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 71.76 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Uwharrie Capital Corp has a beta of -0.2. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Uwharrie Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Uwharrie Capital Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Uwharrie Capital Corp has an alpha of 0.1057, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Uwharrie Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Uwharrie Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Uwharrie Capital Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Uwharrie Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Uwharrie Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Uwharrie Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Uwharrie Capital Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Uwharrie Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Uwharrie Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Uwharrie Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Uwharrie Capital Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Uwharrie Capital Corp currently holds about 123.16 M in cash with (3.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 17.77, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Uwharrie Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Uwharrie OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Uwharrie Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Uwharrie Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7 M |
Uwharrie Capital Technical Analysis
Uwharrie Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Uwharrie OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Uwharrie Capital Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Uwharrie OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Uwharrie Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Uwharrie Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Uwharrie Capital's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Uwharrie Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Uwharrie Capital Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Uwharrie Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Uwharrie Capital Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Uwharrie Capital Corp currently holds about 123.16 M in cash with (3.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 17.77, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Additional Tools for Uwharrie OTC Stock Analysis
When running Uwharrie Capital's price analysis, check to measure Uwharrie Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Uwharrie Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Uwharrie Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Uwharrie Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Uwharrie Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Uwharrie Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.