Marriot Vacations Worldwide Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 93.89
| VAC Stock | USD 94.07 2.14 2.33% |
Marriot |
Marriot Vacations Target Price Odds to finish below 93.89
The tendency of Marriot Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 93.89 or more in 90 days |
| 94.07 | 90 days | 93.89 | about 99.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Marriot Vacations to drop to $ 93.89 or more in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Marriot Vacations Worldwide probability density function shows the probability of Marriot Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Marriot Vacations price to stay between $ 93.89 and its current price of $94.07 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.66 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Marriot Vacations will likely underperform. Additionally Marriot Vacations Worldwide has an alpha of 0.2354, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Marriot Vacations Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Marriot Vacations
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marriot Vacations. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Marriot Vacations Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Marriot Vacations is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Marriot Vacations' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Marriot Vacations Worldwide, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Marriot Vacations within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.66 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Marriot Vacations Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Marriot Vacations for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Marriot Vacations can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Marriot Vacations is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Marriot Vacations has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 3rd of October 2024 Marriot Vacations paid $ 0.76 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: AUSTINPLACE BECOMES LARGEST SINGLE COLLECTION OF MARRIOTT HOTELS IN TEXAS |
Marriot Vacations Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Marriot Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Marriot Vacations' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marriot Vacations' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 248 M |
Marriot Vacations Technical Analysis
Marriot Vacations' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Marriot Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Marriot Vacations Worldwide. In general, you should focus on analyzing Marriot Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Marriot Vacations Predictive Forecast Models
Marriot Vacations' time-series forecasting models is one of many Marriot Vacations' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Marriot Vacations' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Marriot Vacations
Checking the ongoing alerts about Marriot Vacations for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Marriot Vacations help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Marriot Vacations is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Marriot Vacations has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 3rd of October 2024 Marriot Vacations paid $ 0.76 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: AUSTINPLACE BECOMES LARGEST SINGLE COLLECTION OF MARRIOTT HOTELS IN TEXAS |
Check out Marriot Vacations Backtesting, Marriot Vacations Valuation, Marriot Vacations Correlation, Marriot Vacations Hype Analysis, Marriot Vacations Volatility, Marriot Vacations History as well as Marriot Vacations Performance. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Marriot Vacations. If investors know Marriot will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Marriot Vacations listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.948 | Dividend Share 3.04 | Earnings Share 5.26 | Revenue Per Share 90.29 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.12 |
The market value of Marriot Vacations is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Marriot that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Marriot Vacations' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Marriot Vacations' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Marriot Vacations' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Marriot Vacations' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Marriot Vacations' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Marriot Vacations is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Marriot Vacations' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.