Vakif Finansal (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.71
| VAKFN Stock | TRY 1.74 0.03 1.75% |
Vakif |
Vakif Finansal Target Price Odds to finish below 1.71
The tendency of Vakif Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1.71 or more in 90 days |
| 1.74 | 90 days | 1.71 | about 81.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vakif Finansal to drop to 1.71 or more in 90 days from now is about 81.71 (This Vakif Finansal Kiralama probability density function shows the probability of Vakif Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vakif Finansal Kiralama price to stay between 1.71 and its current price of 1.74 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.3 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vakif Finansal has a beta of 0.63. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vakif Finansal average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vakif Finansal Kiralama will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vakif Finansal Kiralama has an alpha of 0.0465, implying that it can generate a 0.0465 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Vakif Finansal Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vakif Finansal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vakif Finansal Kiralama. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vakif Finansal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vakif Finansal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vakif Finansal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vakif Finansal Kiralama, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vakif Finansal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.63 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.0005 |
Vakif Finansal Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vakif Finansal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vakif Finansal Kiralama can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vakif Finansal may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Vakif Finansal had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Vakif Finansal Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vakif Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vakif Finansal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vakif Finansal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 46.9 B |
Vakif Finansal Technical Analysis
Vakif Finansal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vakif Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vakif Finansal Kiralama. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vakif Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vakif Finansal Predictive Forecast Models
Vakif Finansal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vakif Finansal's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vakif Finansal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vakif Finansal Kiralama
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vakif Finansal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vakif Finansal Kiralama help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vakif Finansal may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Vakif Finansal had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Vakif Stock
Vakif Finansal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vakif Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vakif with respect to the benefits of owning Vakif Finansal security.