Van De (Belgium) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 34.70

VAN Stock  EUR 29.35  0.05  0.17%   
Van De's future price is the expected price of Van De instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Van de Velde performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Van De Backtesting, Van De Valuation, Van De Correlation, Van De Hype Analysis, Van De Volatility, Van De History as well as Van De Performance.
  
Please specify Van De's target price for which you would like Van De odds to be computed.

Van De Target Price Odds to finish over 34.70

The tendency of Van Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 34.70  or more in 90 days
 29.35 90 days 34.70 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Van De to move over € 34.70  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Van de Velde probability density function shows the probability of Van Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Van de Velde price to stay between its current price of € 29.35  and € 34.70  at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.89 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Van de Velde has a beta of -0.0731. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Van De are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Van de Velde is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Van de Velde has an alpha of 0.0025, implying that it can generate a 0.002546 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Van De Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Van De

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Van de Velde. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.4729.3530.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.7427.6232.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.1230.0030.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
28.2729.2730.28
Details

Van De Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Van De is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Van De's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Van de Velde, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Van De within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.74
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Van De Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Van De for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Van de Velde can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Van de Velde generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Van De Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Van Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Van De's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Van De's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments73.5 M

Van De Technical Analysis

Van De's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Van Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Van de Velde. In general, you should focus on analyzing Van Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Van De Predictive Forecast Models

Van De's time-series forecasting models is one of many Van De's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Van De's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Van de Velde

Checking the ongoing alerts about Van De for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Van de Velde help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Van de Velde generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Additional Tools for Van Stock Analysis

When running Van De's price analysis, check to measure Van De's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Van De is operating at the current time. Most of Van De's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Van De's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Van De's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Van De to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.