Vaxxinity Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 2.72

VAXXDelisted Stock  USD 2.72  0.19  6.53%   
Vaxxinity's future price is the expected price of Vaxxinity instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Vaxxinity performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in interest.
  
Please specify Vaxxinity's target price for which you would like Vaxxinity odds to be computed.

Vaxxinity Target Price Odds to finish below 2.72

The tendency of Vaxxinity Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 2.72 90 days 2.72 
over 95.82
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vaxxinity to move below current price in 90 days from now is over 95.82 (This Vaxxinity probability density function shows the probability of Vaxxinity Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vaxxinity has a beta of -1.16. This entails as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Vaxxinity are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Vaxxinity is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Vaxxinity has an alpha of 0.6527, implying that it can generate a 0.65 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Vaxxinity Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vaxxinity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vaxxinity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vaxxinity's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.722.722.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.172.172.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.013.013.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.212.653.10
Details

Vaxxinity Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vaxxinity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vaxxinity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vaxxinity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vaxxinity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.65
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.30
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Vaxxinity Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vaxxinity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vaxxinity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vaxxinity is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Vaxxinity has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (56.93 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.87 M).
Vaxxinity currently holds about 128.23 M in cash with (57.24 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.02.
Roughly 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Vaxxinity Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vaxxinity Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vaxxinity's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vaxxinity's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding126.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments30.5 M

Vaxxinity Technical Analysis

Vaxxinity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vaxxinity Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vaxxinity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vaxxinity Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Vaxxinity Predictive Forecast Models

Vaxxinity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vaxxinity's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vaxxinity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Vaxxinity

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vaxxinity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vaxxinity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vaxxinity is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Vaxxinity has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (56.93 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.87 M).
Vaxxinity currently holds about 128.23 M in cash with (57.24 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.02.
Roughly 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in interest.
You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.

Other Consideration for investing in Vaxxinity Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Vaxxinity check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Vaxxinity's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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