Invesco Van Kampen Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 15.09
| VBF Etf | USD 15.86 0.13 0.83% |
Invesco |
Invesco Van Target Price Odds to finish below 15.09
The tendency of Invesco Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 15.09 or more in 90 days |
| 15.86 | 90 days | 15.09 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Van to drop to $ 15.09 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Invesco Van Kampen probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invesco Van Kampen price to stay between $ 15.09 and its current price of $15.86 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.94 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Invesco Van has a beta of 0.11. This entails as returns on the market go up, Invesco Van average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Invesco Van Kampen will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Invesco Van Kampen has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Invesco Van Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Invesco Van
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Van Kampen. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Invesco Van Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco Van is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco Van's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco Van Kampen, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco Van within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.34 |
Invesco Van Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco Van for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco Van Kampen can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Invesco Van Kampen generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 8.7 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (7.98 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 8.7 M. | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of tradable shares by Crissie Wisdom of Invesco Van subject to Rule 16b-3 | |
| The fund generated three year return of -2.0% |
Invesco Van Technical Analysis
Invesco Van's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco Van Kampen. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Invesco Van Predictive Forecast Models
Invesco Van's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco Van's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco Van's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Invesco Van Kampen
Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco Van for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco Van Kampen help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Invesco Van Kampen generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 8.7 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (7.98 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 8.7 M. | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of tradable shares by Crissie Wisdom of Invesco Van subject to Rule 16b-3 | |
| The fund generated three year return of -2.0% |
Other Information on Investing in Invesco Etf
Invesco Van financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco Van security.