Vietnam Construction (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 24055.0

VC3 Stock   28,300  200.00  0.71%   
Vietnam Construction's future price is the expected price of Vietnam Construction instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Vietnam Construction JSC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Vietnam Construction Backtesting, Vietnam Construction Valuation, Vietnam Construction Correlation, Vietnam Construction Hype Analysis, Vietnam Construction Volatility, Vietnam Construction History as well as Vietnam Construction Performance.
  
Please specify Vietnam Construction's target price for which you would like Vietnam Construction odds to be computed.

Vietnam Construction Target Price Odds to finish below 24055.0

The tendency of Vietnam Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  24,055  or more in 90 days
 28,300 90 days 24,055 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vietnam Construction to drop to  24,055  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Vietnam Construction JSC probability density function shows the probability of Vietnam Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vietnam Construction JSC price to stay between  24,055  and its current price of 28300.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vietnam Construction has a beta of 0.23. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vietnam Construction average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vietnam Construction JSC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vietnam Construction JSC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Vietnam Construction Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vietnam Construction

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vietnam Construction JSC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28,29928,30028,301
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24,05424,05531,130
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
28,20428,20528,206
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27,64628,04228,437
Details

Vietnam Construction Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vietnam Construction is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vietnam Construction's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vietnam Construction JSC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vietnam Construction within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
497.56
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Vietnam Construction Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vietnam Construction for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vietnam Construction JSC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vietnam Construction generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Vietnam Construction Technical Analysis

Vietnam Construction's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vietnam Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vietnam Construction JSC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vietnam Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Vietnam Construction Predictive Forecast Models

Vietnam Construction's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vietnam Construction's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vietnam Construction's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Vietnam Construction JSC

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vietnam Construction for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vietnam Construction JSC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vietnam Construction generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Vietnam Stock

Vietnam Construction financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vietnam Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vietnam with respect to the benefits of owning Vietnam Construction security.