Vci Global Limited Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.07
| VCIG Stock | 1.98 0.17 7.91% |
VCI |
VCI Global Target Price Odds to finish below 4.07
The tendency of VCI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 4.07 after 90 days |
| 1.98 | 90 days | 4.07 | about 29.1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VCI Global to stay under 4.07 after 90 days from now is about 29.1 (This VCI Global Limited probability density function shows the probability of VCI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VCI Global Limited price to stay between its current price of 1.98 and 4.07 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.05 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days VCI Global Limited has a beta of -0.64. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding VCI Global are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, VCI Global Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally VCI Global Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. VCI Global Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for VCI Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VCI Global Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.VCI Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VCI Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VCI Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VCI Global Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VCI Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.86 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
VCI Global Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VCI Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VCI Global Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| VCI Global Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| VCI Global Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| VCI Global Limited may become a speculative penny stock | |
| VCI Global Limitedhas 5,964,143 shares shorted by VCI Global investors is about 100% of outstending shares | |
| VCI Global Limited has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: VCI Global Initiates Reverse Stock Split to Boost Share Price - TipRanks |
VCI Global Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VCI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VCI Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VCI Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.8 M |
VCI Global Technical Analysis
VCI Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VCI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VCI Global Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing VCI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VCI Global Predictive Forecast Models
VCI Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many VCI Global's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VCI Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about VCI Global Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about VCI Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VCI Global Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| VCI Global Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| VCI Global Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| VCI Global Limited may become a speculative penny stock | |
| VCI Global Limitedhas 5,964,143 shares shorted by VCI Global investors is about 100% of outstending shares | |
| VCI Global Limited has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: VCI Global Initiates Reverse Stock Split to Boost Share Price - TipRanks |
Check out VCI Global Backtesting, VCI Global Valuation, VCI Global Correlation, VCI Global Hype Analysis, VCI Global Volatility, VCI Global History as well as VCI Global Performance. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Is Environmental & Facilities Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of VCI Global. If investors know VCI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about VCI Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.34) | Earnings Share 8.55 | Revenue Per Share 96.7 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.456 | Return On Assets 0.1441 |
The market value of VCI Global Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VCI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VCI Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VCI Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VCI Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VCI Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VCI Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VCI Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VCI Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.