Versus Capital Multi Manager Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 25.46
| VCMIX Fund | USD 24.78 0.04 0.16% |
Versus |
Versus Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 25.46
The tendency of Versus Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 25.46 or more in 90 days |
| 24.78 | 90 days | 25.46 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Versus Capital to move over $ 25.46 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Versus Capital Multi Manager probability density function shows the probability of Versus Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Versus Capital Multi price to stay between its current price of $ 24.78 and $ 25.46 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.06 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Versus Capital has a beta of 0.0204. This entails as returns on the market go up, Versus Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Versus Capital Multi Manager will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Versus Capital Multi Manager has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Versus Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Versus Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Versus Capital Multi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Versus Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Versus Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Versus Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Versus Capital Multi Manager, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Versus Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.81 |
Versus Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Versus Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Versus Capital Multi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Versus Capital Multi generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -2.0% |
Versus Capital Technical Analysis
Versus Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Versus Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Versus Capital Multi Manager. In general, you should focus on analyzing Versus Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Versus Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Versus Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Versus Capital's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Versus Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Versus Capital Multi
Checking the ongoing alerts about Versus Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Versus Capital Multi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Versus Capital Multi generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -2.0% |
Other Information on Investing in Versus Mutual Fund
Versus Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Versus Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Versus with respect to the benefits of owning Versus Capital security.
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