Vaccinex Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.55
| VCNX Stock | USD 3.78 0.09 2.44% |
Vaccinex |
Vaccinex Target Price Odds to finish below 2.55
The tendency of Vaccinex Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 2.55 or more in 90 days |
| 3.78 | 90 days | 2.55 | about 15.41 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vaccinex to drop to $ 2.55 or more in 90 days from now is about 15.41 (This Vaccinex probability density function shows the probability of Vaccinex Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vaccinex price to stay between $ 2.55 and its current price of $3.78 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.9 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vaccinex has a beta of 0.46. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vaccinex average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vaccinex will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vaccinex has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Vaccinex Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vaccinex
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vaccinex. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vaccinex Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vaccinex is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vaccinex's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vaccinex, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vaccinex within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Vaccinex Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vaccinex for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vaccinex can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vaccinex generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Vaccinex has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 570 K. Net Loss for the year was (20.25 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (13.7 M). | |
| Vaccinex currently holds about 11.4 M in cash with (17.23 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.27. | |
| Vaccinex has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Vaccinex reports Q3 figures |
Vaccinex Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vaccinex Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vaccinex's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vaccinex's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 463.6 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 M |
Vaccinex Technical Analysis
Vaccinex's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vaccinex Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vaccinex. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vaccinex Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vaccinex Predictive Forecast Models
Vaccinex's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vaccinex's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vaccinex's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vaccinex
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vaccinex for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vaccinex help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vaccinex generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Vaccinex has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 570 K. Net Loss for the year was (20.25 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (13.7 M). | |
| Vaccinex currently holds about 11.4 M in cash with (17.23 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.27. | |
| Vaccinex has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Vaccinex reports Q3 figures |
Additional Tools for Vaccinex Stock Analysis
When running Vaccinex's price analysis, check to measure Vaccinex's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vaccinex is operating at the current time. Most of Vaccinex's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vaccinex's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vaccinex's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vaccinex to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.