VectivBio Holding AG Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.61
| VECTDelisted Stock | USD 16.85 0.00 0.00% |
VectivBio |
VectivBio Holding Target Price Odds to finish below 10.61
The tendency of VectivBio Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 10.61 or more in 90 days |
| 16.85 | 90 days | 10.61 | about 18.18 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VectivBio Holding to drop to $ 10.61 or more in 90 days from now is about 18.18 (This VectivBio Holding AG probability density function shows the probability of VectivBio Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VectivBio Holding price to stay between $ 10.61 and its current price of $16.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 65.37 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days VectivBio Holding AG has a beta of -1.64. This entails as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding VectivBio Holding AG are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, VectivBio Holding is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover VectivBio Holding AG has an alpha of 1.2753, implying that it can generate a 1.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). VectivBio Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for VectivBio Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VectivBio Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VectivBio Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
VectivBio Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VectivBio Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VectivBio Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VectivBio Holding AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VectivBio Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
VectivBio Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VectivBio Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VectivBio Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| VectivBio Holding is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| VectivBio Holding has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 27.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (93.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 27.34 M. | |
| VectivBio Holding AG currently holds about 142.14 M in cash with (56.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.09. | |
| Over 84.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
VectivBio Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VectivBio Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VectivBio Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VectivBio Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 44.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 221.4 M |
VectivBio Holding Technical Analysis
VectivBio Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VectivBio Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VectivBio Holding AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing VectivBio Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VectivBio Holding Predictive Forecast Models
VectivBio Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many VectivBio Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VectivBio Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about VectivBio Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about VectivBio Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VectivBio Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| VectivBio Holding is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| VectivBio Holding has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 27.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (93.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 27.34 M. | |
| VectivBio Holding AG currently holds about 142.14 M in cash with (56.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.09. | |
| Over 84.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Other Consideration for investing in VectivBio Stock
If you are still planning to invest in VectivBio Holding check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the VectivBio Holding's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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