VEON (Netherlands) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.89

VEON Stock  EUR 1.19  0.04  3.48%   
VEON's future price is the expected price of VEON instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of VEON performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out VEON Backtesting, VEON Valuation, VEON Correlation, VEON Hype Analysis, VEON Volatility, VEON History as well as VEON Performance.
For more information on how to buy VEON Stock please use our How to Invest in VEON guide.
  
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VEON Target Price Odds to finish over 3.89

The tendency of VEON Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 3.89  or more in 90 days
 1.19 90 days 3.89 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VEON to move over € 3.89  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This VEON probability density function shows the probability of VEON Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VEON price to stay between its current price of € 1.19  and € 3.89  at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.9 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon VEON has a beta of 0.96. This entails VEON market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, VEON is expected to follow. Additionally VEON has an alpha of 0.1891, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   VEON Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for VEON

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VEON. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.193.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.153.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.123.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.121.211.30
Details

VEON Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VEON is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VEON's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VEON, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VEON within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.96
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

VEON Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VEON for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VEON can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VEON may become a speculative penny stock
VEON has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
VEON has accumulated 10.07 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 336.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. VEON has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist VEON until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, VEON's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like VEON sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for VEON to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about VEON's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

VEON Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VEON Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VEON's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VEON's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.8 B

VEON Technical Analysis

VEON's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VEON Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VEON. In general, you should focus on analyzing VEON Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

VEON Predictive Forecast Models

VEON's time-series forecasting models is one of many VEON's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VEON's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about VEON

Checking the ongoing alerts about VEON for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VEON help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VEON may become a speculative penny stock
VEON has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
VEON has accumulated 10.07 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 336.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. VEON has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist VEON until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, VEON's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like VEON sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for VEON to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about VEON's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Additional Tools for VEON Stock Analysis

When running VEON's price analysis, check to measure VEON's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VEON is operating at the current time. Most of VEON's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VEON's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VEON's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VEON to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.