Vertoz Advertising (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 22.8
| VERTOZ Stock | 14.88 0.25 1.65% |
Vertoz |
Vertoz Advertising Target Price Odds to finish below 22.8
The tendency of Vertoz Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 22.80 after 90 days |
| 14.88 | 90 days | 22.80 | about 43.15 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vertoz Advertising to stay under 22.80 after 90 days from now is about 43.15 (This Vertoz Advertising Limited probability density function shows the probability of Vertoz Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vertoz Advertising price to stay between its current price of 14.88 and 22.80 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.41 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vertoz Advertising has a beta of 0.081. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vertoz Advertising average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vertoz Advertising Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vertoz Advertising Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Vertoz Advertising Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vertoz Advertising
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vertoz Advertising. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vertoz Advertising Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vertoz Advertising is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vertoz Advertising's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vertoz Advertising Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vertoz Advertising within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.37 |
Vertoz Advertising Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vertoz Advertising for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vertoz Advertising can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vertoz Advertising generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Vertoz Advertising has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Vertoz Advertising Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vertoz Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vertoz Advertising's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vertoz Advertising's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 314.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 107.9 M |
Vertoz Advertising Technical Analysis
Vertoz Advertising's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vertoz Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vertoz Advertising Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vertoz Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vertoz Advertising Predictive Forecast Models
Vertoz Advertising's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vertoz Advertising's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vertoz Advertising's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vertoz Advertising
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vertoz Advertising for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vertoz Advertising help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vertoz Advertising generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Vertoz Advertising has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Other Information on Investing in Vertoz Stock
Vertoz Advertising financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vertoz Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vertoz with respect to the benefits of owning Vertoz Advertising security.