Verusa Holding (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 261.41
| VERUS Stock | TRY 287.00 4.50 1.54% |
Verusa |
Verusa Holding Target Price Odds to finish below 261.41
The tendency of Verusa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 261.41 or more in 90 days |
| 287.00 | 90 days | 261.41 | about 9.87 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Verusa Holding to drop to 261.41 or more in 90 days from now is about 9.87 (This Verusa Holding AS probability density function shows the probability of Verusa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Verusa Holding AS price to stay between 261.41 and its current price of 287.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.46 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Verusa Holding has a beta of 0.29. This entails as returns on the market go up, Verusa Holding average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Verusa Holding AS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Verusa Holding AS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Verusa Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Verusa Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Verusa Holding AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Verusa Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Verusa Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Verusa Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Verusa Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Verusa Holding AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Verusa Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 26.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Verusa Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Verusa Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Verusa Holding AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Verusa Holding AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Verusa Holding AS has accumulated about 590.88 M in cash with (13 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.44. | |
| Roughly 79.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Verusa Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Verusa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Verusa Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Verusa Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 70 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.3 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 6.4 M |
Verusa Holding Technical Analysis
Verusa Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Verusa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Verusa Holding AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Verusa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Verusa Holding Predictive Forecast Models
Verusa Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Verusa Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Verusa Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Verusa Holding AS
Checking the ongoing alerts about Verusa Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Verusa Holding AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Verusa Holding AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Verusa Holding AS has accumulated about 590.88 M in cash with (13 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.44. | |
| Roughly 79.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Verusa Stock
Verusa Holding financial ratios help investors to determine whether Verusa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Verusa with respect to the benefits of owning Verusa Holding security.