Veritas Farms Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.001506

VFRM Stock  USD 0.0005  0.00  0.00%   
Veritas Farms' future price is the expected price of Veritas Farms instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Veritas Farms performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Veritas Farms Backtesting, Veritas Farms Valuation, Veritas Farms Correlation, Veritas Farms Hype Analysis, Veritas Farms Volatility, Veritas Farms History as well as Veritas Farms Performance.
  
Please specify Veritas Farms' target price for which you would like Veritas Farms odds to be computed.

Veritas Farms Target Price Odds to finish below 0.001506

The tendency of Veritas Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 0  after 90 days
 0.0005 90 days 0 
about 46.35
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Veritas Farms to stay under $ 0  after 90 days from now is about 46.35 (This Veritas Farms probability density function shows the probability of Veritas Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Veritas Farms price to stay between its current price of $ 0.0005  and $ 0  at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.16 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 26.6 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Veritas Farms will likely underperform. In addition to that Veritas Farms has an alpha of 6.0226, implying that it can generate a 6.02 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Veritas Farms Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Veritas Farms

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Veritas Farms. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000550.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000550.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0000140.0007161.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.00050.00050.0005
Details

Veritas Farms Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Veritas Farms is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Veritas Farms' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Veritas Farms, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Veritas Farms within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
6.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones26.60
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Veritas Farms Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Veritas Farms for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Veritas Farms can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Veritas Farms is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Veritas Farms has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Veritas Farms appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Veritas Farms has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.07 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.03 M).
Veritas Farms currently holds about 164.38 K in cash with (4.76 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Veritas Farms Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Veritas Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Veritas Farms' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Veritas Farms' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding41.6 M

Veritas Farms Technical Analysis

Veritas Farms' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Veritas Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Veritas Farms. In general, you should focus on analyzing Veritas Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Veritas Farms Predictive Forecast Models

Veritas Farms' time-series forecasting models is one of many Veritas Farms' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Veritas Farms' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Veritas Farms

Checking the ongoing alerts about Veritas Farms for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Veritas Farms help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Veritas Farms is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Veritas Farms has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Veritas Farms appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Veritas Farms has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.07 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.03 M).
Veritas Farms currently holds about 164.38 K in cash with (4.76 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in Veritas Pink Sheet

Veritas Farms financial ratios help investors to determine whether Veritas Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Veritas with respect to the benefits of owning Veritas Farms security.