Vanguard Global Credit Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 18.96
| VGCAX Fund | USD 19.23 0.12 0.62% |
VANGUARD |
Vanguard Global Target Price Odds to finish below 18.96
The tendency of VANGUARD Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 18.96 or more in 90 days |
| 19.23 | 90 days | 18.96 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard Global to drop to $ 18.96 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Vanguard Global Credit probability density function shows the probability of VANGUARD Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vanguard Global Credit price to stay between $ 18.96 and its current price of $19.23 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.52 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Global has a beta of 0.0503. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vanguard Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vanguard Global Credit will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vanguard Global Credit has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Vanguard Global Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vanguard Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard Global Credit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vanguard Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vanguard Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vanguard Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vanguard Global Credit, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vanguard Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.56 |
Vanguard Global Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vanguard Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vanguard Global Credit can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated three year return of 0.0% | |
| Vanguard Global Credit keeps about 40.46% of its net assets in bonds |
Vanguard Global Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VANGUARD Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vanguard Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vanguard Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Vanguard Global Technical Analysis
Vanguard Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VANGUARD Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vanguard Global Credit. In general, you should focus on analyzing VANGUARD Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vanguard Global Predictive Forecast Models
Vanguard Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vanguard Global's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vanguard Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vanguard Global Credit
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanguard Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vanguard Global Credit help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated three year return of 0.0% | |
| Vanguard Global Credit keeps about 40.46% of its net assets in bonds |
Other Information on Investing in VANGUARD Mutual Fund
Vanguard Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether VANGUARD Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VANGUARD with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Global security.
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| Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators | |
| Technical Analysis Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data |