VGP NV (Belgium) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 77.2
| VGP Stock | EUR 79.30 2.10 2.72% |
VGP |
VGP NV Target Price Odds to finish below 77.2
The tendency of VGP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 77.20 or more in 90 days |
| 79.30 | 90 days | 77.20 | about 7.31 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VGP NV to drop to € 77.20 or more in 90 days from now is about 7.31 (This VGP NV probability density function shows the probability of VGP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VGP NV price to stay between € 77.20 and its current price of €79.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.25 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon VGP NV has a beta of 0.28. This entails as returns on the market go up, VGP NV average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding VGP NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally VGP NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. VGP NV Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for VGP NV
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VGP NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.VGP NV Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VGP NV is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VGP NV's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VGP NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VGP NV within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
VGP NV Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VGP NV for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VGP NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| VGP NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| VGP NV has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| VGP NV has accumulated about 222.16 M in cash with (87.47 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.69. | |
| Roughly 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
VGP NV Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VGP Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VGP NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VGP NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 222.2 M |
VGP NV Technical Analysis
VGP NV's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VGP Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VGP NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing VGP Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VGP NV Predictive Forecast Models
VGP NV's time-series forecasting models is one of many VGP NV's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VGP NV's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about VGP NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about VGP NV for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VGP NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| VGP NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| VGP NV has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| VGP NV has accumulated about 222.16 M in cash with (87.47 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.69. | |
| Roughly 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Additional Tools for VGP Stock Analysis
When running VGP NV's price analysis, check to measure VGP NV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VGP NV is operating at the current time. Most of VGP NV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VGP NV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VGP NV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VGP NV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.