Vinhomes JSC (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 36,002
| VHM Stock | 45,250 2,550 5.97% |
Vinhomes |
Vinhomes JSC Target Price Odds to finish below 36,002
The tendency of Vinhomes Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 45,250 | 90 days | 45,250 | about 91.17 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vinhomes JSC to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 91.17 (This Vinhomes JSC probability density function shows the probability of Vinhomes Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vinhomes JSC has a beta of 0.0914. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vinhomes JSC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vinhomes JSC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vinhomes JSC has an alpha of 0.201, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Vinhomes JSC Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Vinhomes JSC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vinhomes JSC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vinhomes JSC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vinhomes JSC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vinhomes JSC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vinhomes JSC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vinhomes JSC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1,813 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Vinhomes JSC Technical Analysis
Vinhomes JSC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vinhomes Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vinhomes JSC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vinhomes Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vinhomes JSC Predictive Forecast Models
Vinhomes JSC's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vinhomes JSC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vinhomes JSC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Vinhomes JSC in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Vinhomes JSC's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Vinhomes JSC options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Vinhomes Stock
Vinhomes JSC financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vinhomes Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vinhomes with respect to the benefits of owning Vinhomes JSC security.