Vici Properties Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 32.61
| VICI Stock | USD 31.44 0.32 1.01% |
VICI |
VICI Properties Target Price Odds to finish below 32.61
The tendency of VICI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 32.61 after 90 days |
| 31.44 | 90 days | 32.61 | about 60.92 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VICI Properties to stay under $ 32.61 after 90 days from now is about 60.92 (This VICI Properties probability density function shows the probability of VICI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VICI Properties price to stay between its current price of $ 31.44 and $ 32.61 at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.41 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days VICI Properties has a beta of -0.0265. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding VICI Properties are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, VICI Properties is likely to outperform the market. Additionally VICI Properties has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. VICI Properties Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for VICI Properties
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VICI Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VICI Properties' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
VICI Properties Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VICI Properties is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VICI Properties' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VICI Properties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VICI Properties within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
VICI Properties Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VICI Properties for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VICI Properties can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| VICI Properties generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| VICI Properties is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 100.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thefly.com: Broadstone Net Lease management to meet with KeyBanc BNL |
VICI Properties Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VICI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VICI Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VICI Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 522.6 M |
VICI Properties Technical Analysis
VICI Properties' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VICI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VICI Properties. In general, you should focus on analyzing VICI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VICI Properties Predictive Forecast Models
VICI Properties' time-series forecasting models is one of many VICI Properties' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VICI Properties' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about VICI Properties
Checking the ongoing alerts about VICI Properties for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VICI Properties help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| VICI Properties generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| VICI Properties is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 100.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thefly.com: Broadstone Net Lease management to meet with KeyBanc BNL |
Check out VICI Properties Backtesting, VICI Properties Valuation, VICI Properties Correlation, VICI Properties Hype Analysis, VICI Properties Volatility, VICI Properties History as well as VICI Properties Performance. For more detail on how to invest in VICI Stock please use our How to Invest in VICI Properties guide.You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Is Other Specialized REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of VICI Properties. If investors know VICI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about VICI Properties listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.275 | Dividend Share 1.678 | Earnings Share 2.7 | Revenue Per Share 3.651 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.067 |
The market value of VICI Properties is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VICI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VICI Properties' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VICI Properties' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VICI Properties' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VICI Properties' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VICI Properties' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VICI Properties is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VICI Properties' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.