Vien Dong (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5085.3

VID Stock   5,160  40.00  0.78%   
Vien Dong's future price is the expected price of Vien Dong instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Vien Dong Investment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Vien Dong Backtesting, Vien Dong Valuation, Vien Dong Correlation, Vien Dong Hype Analysis, Vien Dong Volatility, Vien Dong History as well as Vien Dong Performance.
  
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Vien Dong Target Price Odds to finish below 5085.3

The tendency of Vien Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  5,085  or more in 90 days
 5,160 90 days 5,085 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vien Dong to drop to  5,085  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Vien Dong Investment probability density function shows the probability of Vien Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vien Dong Investment price to stay between  5,085  and its current price of 5160.0 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.93 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vien Dong Investment has a beta of -0.54. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Vien Dong are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Vien Dong Investment is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Vien Dong Investment has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Vien Dong Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vien Dong

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vien Dong Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,1595,1605,161
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,3834,3855,676
Details

Vien Dong Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vien Dong is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vien Dong's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vien Dong Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vien Dong within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.54
σ
Overall volatility
124.19
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Vien Dong Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vien Dong for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vien Dong Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vien Dong Investment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Vien Dong Technical Analysis

Vien Dong's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vien Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vien Dong Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vien Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Vien Dong Predictive Forecast Models

Vien Dong's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vien Dong's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vien Dong's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Vien Dong Investment

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vien Dong for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vien Dong Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vien Dong Investment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Vien Stock

Vien Dong financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vien Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vien with respect to the benefits of owning Vien Dong security.