VIB Vermgen (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.38
| VIH1 Stock | EUR 10.10 0.18 1.75% |
VIB |
VIB Vermgen Target Price Odds to finish below 7.38
The tendency of VIB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 7.38 or more in 90 days |
| 10.10 | 90 days | 7.38 | about 5.34 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VIB Vermgen to drop to € 7.38 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.34 (This VIB Vermgen AG probability density function shows the probability of VIB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VIB Vermgen AG price to stay between € 7.38 and its current price of €10.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 43.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon VIB Vermgen has a beta of 0.1. This entails as returns on the market go up, VIB Vermgen average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding VIB Vermgen AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally VIB Vermgen AG has an alpha of 0.4515, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). VIB Vermgen Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for VIB Vermgen
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VIB Vermgen AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.VIB Vermgen Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VIB Vermgen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VIB Vermgen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VIB Vermgen AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VIB Vermgen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
VIB Vermgen Technical Analysis
VIB Vermgen's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VIB Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VIB Vermgen AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing VIB Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VIB Vermgen Predictive Forecast Models
VIB Vermgen's time-series forecasting models is one of many VIB Vermgen's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VIB Vermgen's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards VIB Vermgen in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, VIB Vermgen's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from VIB Vermgen options trading.
Additional Tools for VIB Stock Analysis
When running VIB Vermgen's price analysis, check to measure VIB Vermgen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VIB Vermgen is operating at the current time. Most of VIB Vermgen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VIB Vermgen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VIB Vermgen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VIB Vermgen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.