VIMAB Group (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.27

VIMAB Stock   7.50  0.25  3.23%   
VIMAB Group's future price is the expected price of VIMAB Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of VIMAB Group AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out VIMAB Group Backtesting, VIMAB Group Valuation, VIMAB Group Correlation, VIMAB Group Hype Analysis, VIMAB Group Volatility, VIMAB Group History as well as VIMAB Group Performance.
  
Please specify VIMAB Group's target price for which you would like VIMAB Group odds to be computed.

VIMAB Group Target Price Odds to finish over 8.27

The tendency of VIMAB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  8.27  or more in 90 days
 7.50 90 days 8.27 
about 75.06
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VIMAB Group to move over  8.27  or more in 90 days from now is about 75.06 (This VIMAB Group AB probability density function shows the probability of VIMAB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VIMAB Group AB price to stay between its current price of  7.50  and  8.27  at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.22 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon VIMAB Group AB has a beta of -3.55. This entails as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding VIMAB Group AB are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, VIMAB Group is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover VIMAB Group AB has an alpha of 1.1845, implying that it can generate a 1.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   VIMAB Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for VIMAB Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VIMAB Group AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.387.5023.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.367.2022.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.178.2724.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.938.7310.53
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as VIMAB Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against VIMAB Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, VIMAB Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in VIMAB Group AB.

VIMAB Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VIMAB Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VIMAB Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VIMAB Group AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VIMAB Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones-3.55
σ
Overall volatility
2.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

VIMAB Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VIMAB Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VIMAB Group AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VIMAB Group AB is way too risky over 90 days horizon
VIMAB Group AB appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
VIMAB Group AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years

VIMAB Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VIMAB Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VIMAB Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VIMAB Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield3.7149
Forward Annual Dividend Rate37
Shares Float2.6 M

VIMAB Group Technical Analysis

VIMAB Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VIMAB Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VIMAB Group AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing VIMAB Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

VIMAB Group Predictive Forecast Models

VIMAB Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many VIMAB Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VIMAB Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about VIMAB Group AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about VIMAB Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VIMAB Group AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VIMAB Group AB is way too risky over 90 days horizon
VIMAB Group AB appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
VIMAB Group AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years

Additional Tools for VIMAB Stock Analysis

When running VIMAB Group's price analysis, check to measure VIMAB Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VIMAB Group is operating at the current time. Most of VIMAB Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VIMAB Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VIMAB Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VIMAB Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.