Gaucho Group Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.06
| VINO Stock | USD 1.39 0.27 16.27% |
Gaucho |
Gaucho Group Target Price Odds to finish below 0.06
The tendency of Gaucho Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.06 or more in 90 days |
| 1.39 | 90 days | 0.06 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gaucho Group to drop to $ 0.06 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Gaucho Group Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Gaucho Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gaucho Group Holdings price to stay between $ 0.06 and its current price of $1.39 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.31 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Gaucho Group will likely underperform. Additionally Gaucho Group Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Gaucho Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gaucho Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gaucho Group Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gaucho Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gaucho Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gaucho Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gaucho Group Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gaucho Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.59 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.98 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Gaucho Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gaucho Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gaucho Group Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gaucho Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Gaucho Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Gaucho Group may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Gaucho Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Gaucho Group Holdings currently holds 2.93 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.47, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Gaucho Group Holdings has a current ratio of 0.47, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Gaucho Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 2.15 M. Net Loss for the year was (16.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 167.75 K. | |
| Gaucho Group Holdings currently holds about 254.69 K in cash with (6.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Roughly 41.0% of Gaucho Group outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of tradable shares by Reinecke David of Gaucho Group at 116.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Gaucho Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gaucho Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gaucho Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gaucho Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 124 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 428 K |
Gaucho Group Technical Analysis
Gaucho Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gaucho Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gaucho Group Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gaucho Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gaucho Group Predictive Forecast Models
Gaucho Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gaucho Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gaucho Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gaucho Group Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gaucho Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gaucho Group Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Gaucho Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Gaucho Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Gaucho Group may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Gaucho Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Gaucho Group Holdings currently holds 2.93 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.47, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Gaucho Group Holdings has a current ratio of 0.47, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Gaucho Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 2.15 M. Net Loss for the year was (16.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 167.75 K. | |
| Gaucho Group Holdings currently holds about 254.69 K in cash with (6.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Roughly 41.0% of Gaucho Group outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of tradable shares by Reinecke David of Gaucho Group at 116.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Gaucho Group Backtesting, Gaucho Group Valuation, Gaucho Group Correlation, Gaucho Group Hype Analysis, Gaucho Group Volatility, Gaucho Group History as well as Gaucho Group Performance. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gaucho Group. If investors know Gaucho will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gaucho Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (123.88) | Revenue Per Share 4.351 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.40) | Return On Assets (0.41) | Return On Equity (2.57) |
The market value of Gaucho Group Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gaucho that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gaucho Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gaucho Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gaucho Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gaucho Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gaucho Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gaucho Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gaucho Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.